Matchup Machine

Emmanuel Rivera

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

185th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Rivera
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Model Prediction

Emmanuel Rivera has a 37.4% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 3.8% higher than Rivera's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.4%23.4%2.2%5.8%15.4%14.0%23.0%
Rivera+3.8-1.3-0.1+0.6-1.9+5.1-0.8
Sasaki+0.3+0.7-0.8-0.5+2.0-0.5+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rivera has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% -4.7% 4%         Walk +0.7% +27.6% 39%         In Play +0.7% -23.0% 39%         On Base +5.2% +14.9% 31%         Hit +4.5% -12.8% 14%         Single +2.4% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -6.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years