Matchup Machine

Emmanuel Rivera

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matchup for Jared Jones

184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

466th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Leans in favor of Jones
2

Model Prediction

Emmanuel Rivera has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 3.0% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%20.9%2.2%5.3%13.4%9.6%29.6%
Rivera-3.0-3.8-0.1+0.2-3.9+0.8+5.8
Jones-0.5+0.1-0.8+0.3+0.6-0.6+1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rivera has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.7% +0.6% 39%         In Play +0.7% -1.1% 39%         On Base +5.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +4.5% -0.8% 14%         Single +2.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years