Matchup Machine

Emmanuel Rivera

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

237th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

451st out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Emmanuel Rivera has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.3% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%22.8%1.7%5.8%15.2%7.5%25.0%
Rivera-3.3-1.9-0.6+0.7-2.1-1.4+1.2
Weathers+0.4+1.2-0.4+0.3+1.3-0.9+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rivera has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.7% -0.6% 39%         In Play +0.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +5.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit +4.5% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years