Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Emmanuel Rivera

matchup for Joe Ryan

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Joe Ryan

matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

499th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Moderate advantage for Ryan

Emmanuel Rivera has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 5.2% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Ryan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	21.8%	2.0%	5.4%	14.4%	6.6%	28.2%
Rivera	-5.2	-2.9	-0.3	+0.3	-2.9	-2.3	+4.4
Ryan	+1.5	+1.6	-0.5	+0.1	+2.0	0.0	-0.8

Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rivera has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

9% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

49% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 49%

+28%

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +4.7% 4%

Walk +0.7% -3.3% 39%

In Play +0.7% -1.4% 39%

On Base +5.2% -8.0% 31%

Hit +4.5% -4.7% 14%

Single +2.4% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.8% -2.7% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +0.9%

36.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.3% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +3.3% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.9% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.1% +3.1% 3%

Pop up -1.1% +4.0%

27.9% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% +5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% -1.1%

8.3% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.4% -1.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.2% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +2.8% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° +3.7% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.5% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° -2.2% +6.7%

Emmanuel Rivera has 2 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.39	0.00	0.00	0.39			0.193

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-21	Strikeout
2022-05-21	Groundout			39%	61%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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