Matchup Machine

Emmanuel Rivera

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matchup for Pablo Lopez

321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Pablo Lopez

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matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

385th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Rivera
2

Model Prediction

Emmanuel Rivera has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 1.4% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Lopez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%26.5%2.3%4.8%19.4%5.7%24.8%
Rivera-1.4+1.8+0.0-0.3+2.1-3.1+1.0
Lopez+1.6+2.8-0.2+0.3+2.7-1.1-0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rivera has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% +4.2% 4%         Walk +0.7% -2.5% 39%         In Play +0.7% -1.7% 39%         On Base +5.2% -1.8% 31%         Hit +4.5% +0.7% 14%         Single +2.4% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years