Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Emmanuel Rivera

matchup for Seth Lugo

214th out of 436 (Best 50%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

361st out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Moderate advantage for Rivera

Emmanuel Rivera has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.2% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	25.4%	2.6%	4.9%	17.9%	7.0%	25.5%
Rivera	-1.2	+0.7	+0.3	-0.2	+0.6	-1.9	+1.7
Lugo	0.0	+1.5	-0.5	0.0	+2.1	-1.5	+0.7

Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rivera has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +0.8% 4%

Walk +0.7% -2.3% 39%

In Play +0.7% +1.4% 39%

On Base +5.2% -0.4% 31%

Hit +4.5% +1.9% 14%

Single +2.4% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.8% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +0.1%

36.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +3.3% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.9% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.1% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -1.1% -2.2%

27.9% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% -1.6%

8.3% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%