Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Emmanuel Rivera

matchup for Aaron Nola

224th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Emmanuel Rivera

462nd out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Nola

Emmanuel Rivera has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.2% lower than Rivera's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	24.3%	2.3%	6.1%	16.0%	6.0%	32.2%
Rivera	-3.2	-0.4	+0.0	+1.0	-1.3	-2.8	+8.4
Nola	+0.9	+2.0	-0.7	-0.2	+2.8	-1.1	+1.4

Emmanuel Rivera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rivera has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Emmanuel Rivera hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Emmanuel Rivera hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

13.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +6.3% 4%

Walk +0.7% -2.8% 39%

In Play +0.7% -3.5% 39%

On Base +5.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit +4.5% -2.0% 14%

Single +2.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.8% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

36.8% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +3.3% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.9% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.1% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.1% -0.7%

27.9% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% -0.7%

8.3% of Emmanuel Rivera's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%