Matchup Machine

Ryan O'Hearn

Worst 2% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 36% of matchups for Ryan O'Hearn

Extreme advantage for O'Hearn

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	5.6%	14.1%	10.2%	20.6%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	+1.3	+0.1	+0.5	-4.8
O'Hearn	+0.7	+0.5	-1.7	+0.6	-0.6
Brown	+0.8	+1.3	+1.5	-0.4	-5.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.1%

5.6%

14.1%

10.2%

20.6%

MLB (+/-)

+1.3

+0.1

+0.5

-4.8

O'Hearn

+0.7

+0.5

-1.7

+0.6

-0.6

Brown

+0.8

+1.3

+1.5

-0.4

-5.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	3	1	1	1	2	0	.429
Expected From Contact →			1.60	0.94	0.37	0.29			.229

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Groundout			17%	83%
2023-09-19	Home Run	47%	15%		38%
2023-09-19	Single			11%	89%
2023-08-10	Runner Out
2023-08-10	Strikeout
2023-08-10	Strikeout
2023-08-10	Double	47%	22%		30%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	94	LHB vs RHP	58	49%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

LHB vs RHP

49%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
34%	56	Breaking	57	50%
54%	95	Fastball	74	46%
15%	24	Offspeed	66	4%	⭐
		------------------
54%	69	Four-Seam FB	53	46%
47%	64	Knuckle-Curve	105	25%	⭐
56%	62	Slider	26	24%
55%	54	Splitter	23	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

34%

Breaking

50%

54%

Fastball

46%

15%

Offspeed

⭐

------------------

54%

Four-Seam FB

46%

47%

Knuckle-Curve

105

25%

⭐

56%

Slider

24%

55%

Splitter

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	74%	80	Top of zone	78	13%
	73%	57	Bottom of zone	56	12%
	54%	58	Away / Arm Side	54	11%
	78%	100	In / Glove Side	63	10%
⭐	81%	107	Middle	57	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

74%

Top of zone

13%

73%

Bottom of zone

12%

54%

Away / Arm Side

11%

78%

100

In / Glove Side

10%

⭐

81%

107

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
43%	12	Below the zone	87	32%	⭐⭐
41%	58	Above the zone	45	26%
29%	39	Away / Arm Side	44	24%
45%	8	In / Glove Side	81	23%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

43%

Below the zone

32%

⭐⭐

41%

Above the zone

26%

29%

Away / Arm Side

24%

45%

In / Glove Side

23%

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
67%	55	2 Strikes	63	32%
68%	71	Batter Ahead	47	29%
53%	57	Batter Behind	76	28%
31%	70	First Pitch	76	24%
78%	26	3 Balls	47	10%
87%	0	Full Count	46	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

67%

2 Strikes

32%

68%

Batter Ahead

29%

53%

Batter Behind

28%

31%

First Pitch

24%

78%

3 Balls

10%

87%

Full Count