Matchup Machine

Ryan O'Hearn

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

233rd out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Ryan O'Hearn

205th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for O'Hearn
5

Model Prediction

Ryan O'Hearn has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.6% higher than O'Hearn's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%24.2%1.7%4.6%17.9%9.1%13.0%
O'Hearn+1.6+1.4-0.3-0.5+2.3+0.1-4.1
Beeks-0.2+0.1-0.7-0.3+1.2-0.2-5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan O'Hearn is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Hearn has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Ryan O'Hearn has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Ryan O'Hearn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.0% -2.5% 4%         Walk +1.5% -0.1% 36%         In Play +8.5% +2.6% 39%         On Base +3.8% +0.4% 31%         Hit +2.3% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.0% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years