Matchup Machine

Ryan O'Hearn

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Ryan O'Hearn

195th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for O'Hearn
5

Model Prediction

Ryan O'Hearn has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.0% higher than O'Hearn's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%23.9%2.3%5.3%16.3%8.8%16.1%
O'Hearn+1.0+1.1+0.3+0.2+0.7-0.1-0.9
Fulmer-0.7+0.1-0.8-0.3+1.2-0.8-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan O'Hearn is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. O'Hearn has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Ryan O'Hearn has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Ryan O'Hearn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.0% -2.6% 4%         Walk +1.5% +2.5% 36%         In Play +8.5% +0.1% 39%         On Base +3.8% +3.9% 31%         Hit +2.3% +1.4% 14%         Single +1.0% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years