Matchup Machine

Ryan O'Hearn

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matchup for Martin Perez

191st out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Ryan O'Hearn

110th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for O'Hearn
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Model Prediction

Ryan O'Hearn has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.5% higher than O'Hearn's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%24.8%2.7%5.5%16.6%8.5%14.3%
O'Hearn+1.5+2.0+0.6+0.4+1.0-0.5-2.8
Perez-1.4-0.5-0.4+0.2-0.3-0.9-4.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan O'Hearn is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Hearn doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Ryan O'Hearn hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Ryan O'Hearn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.0% -6.1% 4%         Walk +1.5% -0.3% 36%         In Play +8.5% +6.4% 39%         On Base +3.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +2.3% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.0% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years