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Cedric Mullins

matchup for JP Sears

316th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

JP Sears

matchup for Cedric Mullins

155th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Strong advantage for Mullins

Cedric Mullins has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 2.2% lower than Mullins's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Sears.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	22.7%	4.8%	5.8%	12.1%	5.8%	15.9%
Mullins	-2.2	+1.0	+1.8	+1.0	-1.9	-3.2	-6.3
Sears	-1.3	+0.1	+1.2	-0.1	-1.0	-1.4	-2.6

Cedric Mullins is worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a D grade vs this particular release point.

JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Slider (L)

33%

Changeup (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

14% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

40% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 40%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Small Drop 23%

+10%

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.4% -2.6% 4%

Walk +0.9% -1.1% 38%

In Play +4.5% +3.7% 39%

On Base +1.0% -2.6% 31%

Hit +0.1% -1.5% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +1.2%

33.4% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. JP Sears induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.1% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% +3.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +2.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +2.1% 3%

Pop up +4.8% +3.7%

22.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -7.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.0% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.7% -0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.1% +2.6%

10.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 15.8% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at this angle, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% -4.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% -1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -2.5% -3.0% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% +4.3% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +6.5% +5.0%

Cedric Mullins has 12 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with 3 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	9	2	0	0	2	2	3	0.222
Expected From Contact →			1.02	0.15	0.12	0.75			0.113

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-27	Flyout	7%	4%		89%
2024-04-27	Flyout	2%	2%		96%
2024-04-27	Single			12%	88%
2023-08-20	Strikeout
2023-08-20	Flyout	5%	4%		90%
2023-04-10	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-04-10	Flyout				99%
2023-04-10	Walk
2022-05-25	Walk
2022-05-25	Single		2%	57%	41%
2022-05-25	Strikeout
2022-04-16	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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