Matchup Machine

Cedric Mullins

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matchup for Logan Allen

208th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Cedric Mullins

16th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Mullins
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Model Prediction

Cedric Mullins has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 4.0% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%23.0%4.7%5.0%13.2%11.8%15.1%
Mullins+4.0+1.2+1.7+0.3-0.7+2.8-7.1
Allen-2.4-1.6+0.9-0.8-1.6-0.8-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Cedric Mullins is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
19%
   Cutter (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% -4.2% 4%         Walk +0.9% +1.6% 38%         In Play +4.5% +2.6% 39%         On Base +1.0% +1.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% -0.1% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +1.4%

History

Cedric Mullins has 3 plate appearances against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual310000120.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-29Walk
2023-05-29Walk
2023-05-29Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.