Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cedric Mullins

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

218th out of 436 (Best 51%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Cedric Mullins

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Mullins

Cedric Mullins has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.3% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	23.9%	3.0%	4.8%	16.1%	6.5%	16.4%
Mullins	-0.3	+2.2	+0.0	0.0	+2.2	-2.5	-5.8
Gillaspie	-1.1	-1.3	+0.3	-0.7	-1.0	+0.2	-3.0

Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.4% -9.1% 4%

Walk +0.9% -5.0% 38%

In Play +4.5% +14.2% 39%

On Base +1.0% +11.5% 31%

Hit +0.1% +16.6% 14%

Single -0.7% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +7.8% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.2%

33.4% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.1% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +4.8% -1.7%

22.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.0% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.7% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.1% +7.3%

10.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° -2.5% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% +6.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +6.5% -2.7%

Cedric Mullins has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.99	0.98	0.01	0.00			0.993

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-27	Home Run	98%	1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe