Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cedric Mullins

matchup for Ryne Nelson

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Cedric Mullins

349th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Mullins

Cedric Mullins has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 0.9% lower than Mullins's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.8%	23.6%	3.0%	5.1%	15.5%	6.3%	23.4%
Mullins	-0.9	+1.8	0.0	+0.3	+1.5	-2.7	+1.2
Nelson	-0.3	+0.1	+0.3	+0.2	-0.4	-0.4	-2.8

Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 72%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.4% -2.9% 4%

Walk +0.9% -2.2% 38%

In Play +4.5% +5.1% 39%

On Base +1.0% +0.3% 31%

Hit +0.1% +2.5% 14%

Single -0.7% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.1%

33.4% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +4.8% -0.5%

22.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.0% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.7% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.1% +4.8%

10.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%