Matchup Machine

Cedric Mullins

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matchup for Logan Webb

237th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Cedric Mullins

286th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Mullins
3

Model Prediction

Cedric Mullins has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.5% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%24.0%2.5%5.2%16.3%7.3%21.2%
Mullins+0.5+2.2-0.5+0.4+2.3-1.7-1.0
Webb-1.0-0.8+0.10.0-0.9-0.2-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% -0.8% 4%         Walk +0.9% -2.4% 38%         In Play +4.5% +3.2% 39%         On Base +1.0% +1.6% 31%         Hit +0.1% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.7% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -1.3%

History

Cedric Mullins has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.170.000.070.100.055
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-19Lineout5%3%91%
2024-09-19Strikeout
2024-09-19Flyout2%6%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.