Matchup Machine

Cedric Mullins

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matchup for Ryder Ryan

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Ryder Ryan

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matchup for Cedric Mullins

42nd out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Mullins
9

Model Prediction

Cedric Mullins has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryder Ryan, which is 4.3% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Ryan.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%25.8%2.8%7.0%16.0%9.2%17.7%
Mullins+4.3+4.1-0.2+2.2+2.1+0.2-4.5
Ryan-0.8+0.50.0+0.4+0.1-1.3-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryder Ryan is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mullins has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryder Ryan throws a Slider 44% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
44%
   Sinker (R)
40%
   4-Seam (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Ryder Ryan strikes out 9.2% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% -8.7% 4%         Walk +0.9% +1.3% 38%         In Play +4.5% +7.5% 39%         On Base +1.0% +5.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% +4.2% 14%         Single -0.7% +1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +2.0% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.7%

History

Cedric Mullins has 1 plate appearance against Ryder Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.003
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-06Sac Fly100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.