Matchup Machine

      Cedric Mullins

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      matchup for Tanner Houck

      182nd out of 436 (Best 43%)

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      Tanner Houck

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      matchup for Cedric Mullins

      391st out of 564 (Worst 31%)

      Leans in favor of Houck
      1

      Model Prediction

      Cedric Mullins has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.0% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Houck.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mullins has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
      40%
         Sinker (R)
      28%
         Splitter (R)
      15%
         4-Seam (R)
      14%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.1% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% -1.6% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.2% 38%         In Play +5.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.4% +0.4% 31%         Hit +0.5% +0.2% 14%         Single -0.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.9%

      History

      Cedric Mullins has 13 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 13 with a home run and a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual13134112200.308
      Expected From Contact →3.581.200.761.620.276
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-10-01Groundout40%59%
      2023-10-01Strikeout
      2023-09-08Groundout18%11%71%
      2023-09-08Strikeout
      2023-09-08Double36%33%4%26%
      2023-04-26Single4%88%9%
      2023-04-26Single11%88%
      2023-04-26Flyout99%
      2023-04-02Flyout99%
      2023-04-02Groundout5%3%92%
      2023-04-02Home Run84%13%2%
      2022-05-29GIDP3%97%
      2022-04-29Flyout1%99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.