Matchup Machine

Cedric Mullins

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matchup for Jose Berrios

358th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Cedric Mullins

133rd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Strong advantage for Mullins
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Model Prediction

Cedric Mullins has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.2% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.6%26.4%3.5%5.5%17.4%8.2%20.2%
Mullins+2.2+3.3+0.4+0.7+2.3-1.2-0.8
Berrios+1.5+1.5+0.6-0.4+1.3+0.1-3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mullins has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.9% +0.7% 4%         Walk +0.8% -0.8% 37%         In Play +5.1% +0.1% 39%         On Base +1.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.2% +0.6% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.2%

History

Cedric Mullins has 22 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 20 with 2 home runs, a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual22205212120.250
Expected From Contact →5.441.220.633.590.272
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Home Run
2025-03-27Single
2024-06-05Lineout1%73%26%
2024-06-05Walk
2024-05-13Strikeout
2024-05-13Groundout15%85%
2023-08-24Double8%2%91%
2023-08-24Lineout26%74%
2023-08-24Home Run20%34%4%41%
2022-10-03Walk
2022-10-03Flyout100%
2022-10-03Flyout99%
2022-09-17Single5%51%44%
2022-09-17Flyout2%7%91%
2022-09-17Forceout6%93%
2022-09-05Flyout4%95%
2022-09-05Flyout99%
2022-09-05Groundout33%66%
2022-09-05Catcher Interference
2022-06-15Groundout4%95%
2022-06-15Groundout5%95%
2022-06-15Groundout38%61%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.