Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cedric Mullins

matchup for Aaron Nola

294th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Cedric Mullins

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Mullins

Cedric Mullins has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.2% lower than Mullins's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	22.9%	3.2%	6.9%	12.8%	6.6%	29.0%
Mullins	-1.2	+1.2	+0.2	+2.2	-1.2	-2.4	+6.9
Nola	+0.0	+0.6	+0.2	+0.7	-0.3	-0.5	-1.9

Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mullins has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Cedric Mullins hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Cedric Mullins has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.4% +6.3% 4%

Walk +0.9% -2.8% 38%

In Play +4.5% -3.5% 39%

On Base +1.0% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.7% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -0.5%

33.4% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.1% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +4.8% -0.7%

22.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.7% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.1% -0.7%

10.2% of Cedric Mullins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%