Matchup Machine

Cedric Mullins

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

142nd out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Cedric Mullins

274th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Mullins
3

Model Prediction

Cedric Mullins has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 2.3% higher than Mullins's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%22.7%2.0%4.7%15.9%10.3%21.5%
Mullins+2.3+0.9-1.0-0.1+2.0+1.4-0.7
Bassitt-2.2-1.6-0.2-0.5-0.9-0.6-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Cedric Mullins is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Mullins has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Cedric Mullins has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Cedric Mullins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% -0.4% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.1% 38%         In Play +4.5% +0.3% 39%         On Base +1.0% +1.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% +1.4% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.4%

History

Cedric Mullins has 5 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.330.010.210.110.066
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-30Flyout100%
2025-03-30Strikeout
2025-03-30Flyout9%89%
2024-07-30Flyout11%1%87%
2024-07-30Groundout10%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.