Matchup Machine

Zach McKinstry

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

238th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Zach McKinstry

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Zach McKinstry has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.5% lower than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%21.0%2.2%5.4%13.4%8.5%23.2%
McKinstry-2.5-1.7-0.4+0.2-1.5-0.8+0.9
Weathers-0.4-0.6+0.1-0.2-0.5+0.2-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach McKinstry is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. McKinstry doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.0% -0.6% 38%         In Play +3.3% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit -0.3% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years