Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zach McKinstry

matchup for Chris Paddack

146th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Zach McKinstry

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of McKinstry

Zach McKinstry has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 2.8% lower than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	22.4%	2.7%	5.6%	14.0%	6.8%	22.8%
McKinstry	-2.8	-0.2	+0.2	+0.5	-0.9	-2.6	+0.6
Paddack	-1.0	-1.3	-0.6	+0.0	-0.7	+0.3	+0.6

Zach McKinstry is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. McKinstry has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +4.3% 4%

Walk +0.0% -3.2% 38%

In Play +3.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.3% -3.8% 31%

Hit -0.3% -0.6% 14%

Single +0.0% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% -0.1% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.0%

31.7% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.7% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +0.3% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +0.3%

16.2% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.1% +5.8%

10.3% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%