Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zach McKinstry

matchup for Ryan Feltner

304th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for Zach McKinstry

85th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for McKinstry

Zach McKinstry has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 1.9% higher than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	24.6%	2.8%	6.6%	15.2%	9.2%	17.3%
McKinstry	+1.9	+2.0	+0.3	+1.4	+0.3	-0.1	-5.0
Feltner	+0.5	-0.1	0.0	+0.6	-0.6	+0.6	-2.9

Zach McKinstry is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McKinstry has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -5.1% 4%

Walk +0.0% 0.0% 38%

In Play +3.3% +5.1% 39%

On Base -0.3% +5.3% 31%

Hit -0.3% +5.3% 14%

Single +0.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% +2.7% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

31.7% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.7% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -0.8% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +1.6%

16.2% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.1% -4.2%

10.3% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.7% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +2.7% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +3.1% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.9% +5.0%

Zach McKinstry has 5 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.53	0.01	0.19	0.33			0.106

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-12	Flyout				100%
2024-09-12	Groundout		4%	19%	77%
2022-09-18	Lineout		15%	6%	79%
2022-09-18	Strikeout
2022-09-18	Groundout			8%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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