Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zach McKinstry

matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Nestor Cortes Jr.

matchup for Zach McKinstry

252nd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Moderate advantage for McKinstry

Zach McKinstry has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 0.1% higher than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	21.6%	3.1%	5.8%	12.8%	10.2%	22.6%
McKinstry	-0.1	-1.0	+0.5	+0.6	-2.2	+0.9	+0.4
Cortes Jr.	+0.3	-0.2	-0.3	+0.4	-0.3	+0.5	-1.3

Zach McKinstry is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. McKinstry has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Cutter (L)

24%

Slider (L)

20%

Changeup (L)

19% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

72% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (L) 72%

+17%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Small Break 18%

+10%

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -0.1% 4%

Walk +0.0% -0.6% 38%

In Play +3.3% +0.6% 39%

On Base -0.3% -2.1% 31%

Hit -0.3% -1.6% 14%

Single +0.0% -1.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +1.5%

31.7% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.7% -7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +1.2% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +5.1%

16.2% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.1% -0.3%

10.3% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%