Matchup Machine

Zach McKinstry

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matchup for Yunior Marte

144th out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Yunior Marte

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matchup for Zach McKinstry

239th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Moderate advantage for McKinstry
5

Model Prediction

Zach McKinstry has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Yunior Marte, which is 2.4% higher than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Marte.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%23.5%2.2%4.4%16.9%10.9%21.8%
McKinstry+2.4+0.9-0.4-0.8+2.0+1.5-0.5
Marte-1.7-0.2-0.4-0.3+0.6-1.6-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach McKinstry is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Yunior Marte is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. McKinstry has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yunior Marte throws a Slider 41% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
40%
   4-Seam (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Yunior Marte strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -2.5% 4%         Walk +0.0% +1.0% 38%         In Play +3.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -0.3% +11.4% 31%         Hit -0.3% +10.4% 14%         Single +0.0% +5.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +5.7% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

Zach McKinstry has 1 plate appearance against Yunior Marte in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111010001.000
Expected From Contact →0.370.000.330.040.373
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-11Double33%4%63%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.