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Zach McKinstry

matchup for Zach Eflin

237th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for Zach McKinstry

327th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of McKinstry

Zach McKinstry has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 2.8% lower than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	23.0%	2.8%	5.8%	14.4%	6.2%	17.9%
McKinstry	-2.8	+0.4	+0.3	+0.6	-0.5	-3.2	-4.4
Eflin	-0.2	-0.2	-0.3	+0.2	-0.1	-0.1	-1.5

Zach McKinstry is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. McKinstry has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Zach McKinstry has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Zach McKinstry has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% 0.0% 4%

Walk +0.0% -4.0% 38%

In Play +3.3% +4.0% 39%

On Base -0.3% -3.7% 31%

Hit -0.3% +0.2% 14%

Single +0.0% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% +0.0% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

31.7% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +0.4%

16.2% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.1% +1.4%

10.3% of Zach McKinstry's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.7% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +2.7% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° +3.1% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.9% -0.8%

Zach McKinstry has 2 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03			0.016

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-01	Strikeout
2023-04-01	Groundout			3%	97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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