Matchup Machine

Zach McKinstry

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Zach McKinstry

352nd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of McKinstry
2

Model Prediction

Zach McKinstry has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 1.2% lower than McKinstry's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%25.4%2.2%5.4%17.8%5.4%20.9%
McKinstry-1.2+2.8-0.4+0.3+2.9-4.0-1.4
Mantiply+2.6+2.4+0.0+0.0+2.3+0.2-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach McKinstry is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. McKinstry doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Zach McKinstry hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Zach McKinstry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% +1.1% 4%         Walk +0.0% -3.1% 38%         In Play +3.3% +2.0% 39%         On Base -0.3% -2.8% 31%         Hit -0.3% +0.3% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years