Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Cole Winn

192nd out of 436 (Best 45%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Connor Joe

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 3.4% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	22.3%	1.8%	5.7%	14.8%	12.9%	20.9%
Joe	+3.4	+2.7	-0.1	+0.9	+1.9	+0.7	-4.2
Winn	+0.9	-2.5	-1.0	-0.3	-1.2	+3.4	-0.3

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -4.3% 3%

Walk +3.0% -3.6% 40%

In Play -0.7% +7.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% +6.4% 31%

Hit -2.8% +10.0% 14%

Single -1.1% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +6.0% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.5%

29.3% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.1% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.4% +5.0% 3%

Pop up +4.0% -1.3%

22.3% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.0% -0.7%

10.7% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%