Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Jackson

matchup for Mitch Keller

6th out of 436 (Best 2%)

Mitch Keller

matchup for Alex Jackson

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Strong advantage for Keller

Alex Jackson has a 25.3% chance of reaching base vs Mitch Keller, which is 2.0% lower than Jackson's typical expectations, and 6.9% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.3%	19.1%	2.5%	4.7%	12.0%	6.2%	39.8%
Jackson	-2.0	+0.4	-0.4	+0.1	+0.8	-2.5	+4.3
Keller	-6.9	-5.2	-0.2	-0.5	-4.5	-1.6	+14.3

Alex Jackson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mitch Keller is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jackson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Mitch Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Alex Jackson has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

34%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

12%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Mitch Keller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Jackson hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-3%

64% of Mitch Keller's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 10% higher than the MLB average. Alex Jackson has an F grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

Fast Velo 24%

+9%

29.2% of Alex Jackson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.6% higher than the league average. Mitch Keller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +17.6% +1.0% 5%

Walk -0.3% -1.9% 52%

In Play -17.3% +0.8% 39%

On Base -13.4% +0.9% 31%

Hit -13.2% +2.8% 14%

Single -6.4% +1.2% 13%

2B / 3B -5.9% +1.6% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +0.0%

22.1% of Alex Jackson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. Mitch Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 35.2% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +7.8% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -12.3% +0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.3% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -4.8% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +6.4% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.4% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +1.1% 0.0%

20.6% of Alex Jackson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Mitch Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +17.7% +2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -8.8% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.7% +0.5%

19.7% of Alex Jackson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Mitch Keller are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%