Matchup Machine

Alex Jackson

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

13th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Alex Jackson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Mahle
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Model Prediction

Alex Jackson has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 2.8% lower than Jackson's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.5%16.7%3.7%3.8%9.2%7.8%38.2%
Jackson-2.8-2.0+0.8-0.8-2.0-0.8+2.6
Mahle-5.8-4.3+0.3-0.4-4.2-1.6+13.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Alex Jackson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jackson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Alex Jackson has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

29.2% of Alex Jackson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.6% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +17.6% +10.2% 5%         Walk -0.3% -1.2% 52%         In Play -17.3% -9.0% 39%         On Base -13.4% -5.6% 31%         Hit -13.2% -4.3% 14%         Single -6.4% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -5.9% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years