matchup for Aaron Nola
matchup for Alex Jackson
8
Alex Jackson has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.0% lower than Jackson's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Nola.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 25.4% | 18.2% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 44.0% |
| Jackson | -2.0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | +1.1 | -1.6 | -1.5 | +8.5 |
| Nola | -4.2 | -4.2 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -3.5 | 0.0 | +13.2 |
Alex Jackson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jackson has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Alex Jackson hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Kn-Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
30%
Sinker (R)
20%
Changeup (R)
12%
Cutter (R)
8%
8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Jackson hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Chaser
8%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Alex Jackson hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
26%
+21%
Extreme Slow Velo
23%
+18%
Large Break
22%
+18%
29.2% of Alex Jackson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
11%
Strikeout
+17.6%
+6.3%
5%
Walk
-0.3%
-2.8%
52%
In Play
-17.3%
-3.5%
39%
On Base
-13.4%
-4.8%
31%
Hit
-13.2%
-2.0%
14%
Single
-6.4%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.9%
-0.7%
3%
Home Run
-0.8%
-0.5%
22.1% of Alex Jackson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+7.8%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-12.3%
+2.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.3%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.9%
-1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-4.8%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.3%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+6.4%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+8.4%
-0.3%
3%
Pop up
+1.1%
-0.7%
20.6% of Alex Jackson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. 23.5% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.4%
+0.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+17.7%
-0.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-8.8%
+2.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.8%
-1.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.7%
-0.8%
19.7% of Alex Jackson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.4%
-0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
-8.4%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.7%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-12.3%
+0.9%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.8%
0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+8.3%
-0.6%
7%
39 to 50°
-5.0%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+12.5%
-1.4%
No History in the last 3 years
