Rhys Hoskins has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 25.2% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 43.6% |
Hoskins | -4.9 | -1.9 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -1.8 | -3.0 | +11.1 |
Crochet | -2.3 | -4.0 | +0.3 | -0.2 | -4.1 | +1.7 | +8.3 |
Rhys Hoskins is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hoskins has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers
18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Rhys Hoskins has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.97 | 0.347 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-01 | Single | 8% | 24% | 68% | |
2024-06-01 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
2024-06-01 | Lineout | 73% | 27% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.