Matchup Machine

Rhys Hoskins

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

118th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Rhys Hoskins

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Rhys Hoskins has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.2%16.9%2.8%4.9%9.3%8.2%43.6%
Hoskins-4.9-1.9-0.2+0.1-1.8-3.0+11.1
Crochet-2.3-4.0+0.3-0.2-4.1+1.7+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Rhys Hoskins is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hoskins has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.8% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% -1.3% 43%         In Play -9.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -5.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit -7.7% -2.5% 14%         Single -4.9% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.1%

History

Rhys Hoskins has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.040.000.080.970.347
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Single8%24%68%
2024-06-01Pop Out100%
2024-06-01Lineout73%27%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.