Matchup Machine

Rhys Hoskins

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matchup for C. Hernandez

39th out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Rhys Hoskins

321st out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez
4

Model Prediction

Rhys Hoskins has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.9% lower than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%17.4%2.9%5.6%8.9%11.7%33.7%
Hoskins-0.9-1.40.0+0.8-2.2+0.5+1.1
Hernandez-3.2-4.1-0.1-0.3-3.7+1.0+9.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Rhys Hoskins is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hoskins has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.8% -1.8% 3%         Walk +2.5% +2.0% 43%         In Play -9.3% -0.2% 39%         On Base -5.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit -7.7% -1.1% 14%         Single -4.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years