Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rhys Hoskins

matchup for Jake Irvin

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

Jake Irvin

matchup for Rhys Hoskins

120th out of 567 (Best 22%)

Moderate advantage for Hoskins

Rhys Hoskins has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 2.7% higher than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Irvin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.8%	20.4%	3.1%	5.5%	11.8%	12.4%	27.0%
Hoskins	+2.7	+1.6	+0.1	+0.8	+0.7	+1.2	-5.6
Irvin	-1.2	-4.1	-0.1	+0.1	-4.1	+2.9	+7.0

Rhys Hoskins is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hoskins has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Curve (R)

31%

Sinker (R)

26%

10% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rhys Hoskins has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

17% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Rhys Hoskins has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 17%

+12%

Fastball (R) 65%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Drop 15%

+10%

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +6.8% -4.3% 3%

Walk +2.5% -0.5% 43%

In Play -9.3% +4.8% 39%

On Base -5.2% +1.3% 31%

Hit -7.7% +1.9% 14%

Single -4.9% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -4.5% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +1.1%

24.9% of Rhys Hoskins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.5% +1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.4% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.4% +2.1% 3%

Likely Homer +2.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.0% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.9% -4.9% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -1.5%

29.0% of Rhys Hoskins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.5% -7.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.9% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.9% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% +4.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.7% +3.6%

13.8% of Rhys Hoskins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -7.0% +1.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -3.5% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -0.9% +3.5% 15%

19 to 28° +4.3% +0.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.4% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° +4.3% -3.8% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -1.6%

Rhys Hoskins has 3 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.99	0.12	0.74	0.12			0.328

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-02	Double	12%	73%	12%	2%
2024-08-02	Double Play
2024-08-02	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe