Matchup Machine

Rhys Hoskins

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Rhys Hoskins

287th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Bassitt
2

Model Prediction

Rhys Hoskins has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 1.7% higher than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%18.8%2.3%4.9%11.5%12.9%32.9%
Hoskins+1.70.0-0.6+0.2+0.4+1.7+0.4
Bassitt-3.5-5.5+0.1-0.3-5.4+2.0+9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Rhys Hoskins is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Hoskins has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.8% -0.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% +0.1% 43%         In Play -9.3% +0.3% 39%         On Base -5.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit -7.7% +1.4% 14%         Single -4.9% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.4%

History

Rhys Hoskins has 11 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11102011210.200
Expected From Contact →1.750.360.251.150.175
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-19Flyout29%11%60%
2022-08-19Groundout2%43%55%
2022-08-19Forceout20%80%
2022-08-14Strikeout
2022-08-14Single34%65%
2022-08-14Walk
2022-05-29Groundout9%91%
2022-05-29Groundout8%92%
2022-05-08Double7%11%82%
2022-05-08Pop Out100%
2022-05-08Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.