Matchup Machine

Rhys Hoskins

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Rhys Hoskins

423rd out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Strong advantage for Mantiply
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Model Prediction

Rhys Hoskins has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 4.0% lower than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%20.4%2.6%5.2%12.6%5.7%30.3%
Hoskins-4.0+1.6-0.4+0.4+1.5-5.5-2.3
Mantiply-2.1-2.7+0.5-0.3-2.9+0.6+7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Rhys Hoskins is better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hoskins has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.8% +1.1% 3%         Walk +2.5% -3.1% 43%         In Play -9.3% +2.0% 39%         On Base -5.2% -2.8% 31%         Hit -7.7% +0.3% 14%         Single -4.9% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.1%

History

Rhys Hoskins has 3 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.100.000.000.100.034
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-21Strikeout
2022-08-31GIDP10%90%
2022-06-12Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.