Matchup Machine

Rhys Hoskins

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matchup for Martin Perez

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Rhys Hoskins

41st out of 567 (Best 8%)

Strong advantage for Hoskins
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Model Prediction

Rhys Hoskins has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 5.4% higher than Hoskins's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%21.6%3.2%5.0%13.4%13.9%25.9%
Hoskins+5.4+2.8+0.2+0.2+2.3+2.6-6.7
Perez+0.8-3.7+0.1-0.4-3.5+4.6+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Rhys Hoskins is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hoskins has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Rhys Hoskins has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Rhys Hoskins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.8% -6.1% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.3% 43%         In Play -9.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base -5.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit -7.7% +6.3% 14%         Single -4.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.6%

History

Rhys Hoskins has 9 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a home run, 4 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual951100340.200
Expected From Contact →1.010.990.000.010.201
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-10Strikeout
2024-07-10Home Run99%
2024-07-10Pop Out99%
2022-06-21Walk
2022-06-21Walk
2022-06-21Walk
2022-05-04Strikeout
2022-05-04Strikeout
2022-05-04Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.