Matchup Machine

Derek Hill

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matchup for David Peterson

20th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Derek Hill

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Peterson
5

Model Prediction

Derek Hill has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.9% higher than Hill's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%23.0%1.9%4.9%16.2%5.8%29.4%
Hill+1.9+1.9-0.5+0.2+2.2+0.0-3.5
Peterson-4.1+0.1-0.40.0+0.5-4.2+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Derek Hill is better vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Hill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Derek Hill has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.9% of Derek Hill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.2% +0.1% 6%         Walk -3.2% +1.3% 42%         In Play -4.9% -1.3% 39%         On Base -0.9% +2.1% 31%         Hit +2.3% +0.8% 14%         Single +1.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -1.0%

History

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