Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Derek Hill

matchup for Aaron Nola

36th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Derek Hill

373rd out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Derek Hill has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 0.7% lower than Hill's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.1%	21.9%	2.5%	5.0%	14.4%	4.2%	39.9%
Hill	-0.7	+0.8	+0.1	+0.3	+0.3	-1.5	+7.1
Nola	-3.4	-0.5	-0.5	-1.3	+1.2	-2.9	+9.0

Derek Hill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hill has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Derek Hill hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Derek Hill hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Derek Hill hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

19.9% of Derek Hill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.2% +6.3% 6%

Walk -3.2% -2.8% 42%

In Play -4.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.9% -4.8% 31%

Hit +2.3% -2.0% 14%

Single +1.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

42.4% of Derek Hill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.0% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.6% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.3% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.5% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.3% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.7%

22.8% of Derek Hill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.7% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.1% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.4% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.5% -0.7%

11.7% of Derek Hill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%