Matchup Machine

Derek Hill

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

20th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Derek Hill

35th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Moderate advantage for Hill
4

Model Prediction

Derek Hill has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.4% higher than Hill's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%28.1%2.5%5.3%20.2%5.2%26.8%
Hill+6.4+6.9+0.1+0.7+6.2-0.6-6.0
Stroman-4.4-0.8-0.2-0.5-0.1-3.6+8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Derek Hill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hill has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Derek Hill hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.9% of Derek Hill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.2% -3.1% 6%         Walk -3.2% -0.8% 42%         In Play -4.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.9% +3.0% 31%         Hit +2.3% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years