Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Stuart Fairchild

matchup for Jared Jones

68th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Jared Jones

matchup for S. Fairchild

374th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Stuart Fairchild has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.5% lower than Fairchild's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	17.2%	2.8%	4.6%	9.7%	10.7%	35.7%
Fairchild	-0.5	-1.6	-0.1	-0.2	-1.3	+1.1	+4.3
Jones	-3.2	-3.7	-0.1	-0.4	-3.1	+0.5	+7.2

Stuart Fairchild is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fairchild has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Stuart Fairchild has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Stuart Fairchild has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Stuart Fairchild has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

16.6% of Stuart Fairchild's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.4% +0.4% 4%

Walk +0.7% +0.6% 41%

In Play -4.1% -1.1% 39%

On Base -3.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -3.9% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.8% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.9%

31.4% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.0% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.2% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +7.5% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -2.8% +2.5%

16.0% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.3% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.3% +0.4%

10.9% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%