Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Stuart Fairchild

matchup for C. Hernandez

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for S. Fairchild

254th out of 564 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez

Stuart Fairchild has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.0% higher than Fairchild's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	17.6%	3.1%	6.0%	8.4%	10.8%	30.8%
Fairchild	0.0	-1.2	+0.2	+1.2	-2.6	+1.2	-0.6
Hernandez	-3.9	-3.9	+0.1	+0.2	-4.2	+0.0	+6.9

Stuart Fairchild is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fairchild has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Stuart Fairchild has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Stuart Fairchild has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Stuart Fairchild hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

16.6% of Stuart Fairchild's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.4% -1.8% 4%

Walk +0.7% +2.0% 41%

In Play -4.1% -0.2% 39%

On Base -3.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit -3.9% -1.1% 14%

Single -2.8% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.6%

31.4% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.0% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.2% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +7.5% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -2.8% +2.7%

16.0% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.3% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.3% -0.9%

10.9% of Stuart Fairchild's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%