Matchup Machine

Stuart Fairchild

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

65th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for S. Fairchild

130th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Leans in favor of Fairchild
2

Model Prediction

Stuart Fairchild has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.0% higher than Fairchild's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%19.9%4.2%4.9%10.9%10.5%30.6%
Fairchild+2.0+1.1+1.2+0.1-0.2+0.9-0.8
Flaherty-3.8-3.3+0.6-0.3-3.6-0.5+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Stuart Fairchild is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fairchild has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Stuart Fairchild has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Stuart Fairchild's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +5.8% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.5% 41%         In Play -4.1% -4.3% 39%         On Base -3.2% -2.0% 31%         Hit -3.9% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.2%

History

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