Matchup Machine

Stuart Fairchild

sometext

matchup for Tyler Anderson

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

sometext

Tyler Anderson

sometext

matchup for S. Fairchild

113th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Leans in favor of Fairchild
2

Model Prediction

Stuart Fairchild has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.3% higher than Fairchild's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%18.9%3.2%4.9%10.9%12.8%26.2%
Fairchild+3.3+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1+3.1-5.2
Anderson-2.0-3.3+0.2-0.3-3.2+1.3+4.6

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Stuart Fairchild is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fairchild has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Stuart Fairchild has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Stuart Fairchild's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.0% 41%         In Play -4.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.8% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.2%

History

Stuart Fairchild has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.310.000.110.210.104
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-19Flyout1%8%90%
2024-04-19Groundout9%12%78%
2024-04-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.