Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Chapman

matchup for Reid Detmers

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Reid Detmers

matchup for Matt Chapman

292nd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Chapman

Matt Chapman has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 1.2% higher than Chapman's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Detmers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	20.8%	4.0%	4.6%	12.1%	13.6%	33.3%
Chapman	+1.2	-0.2	+0.8	0.0	-1.0	+1.4	+8.6
Detmers	+2.3	-1.5	+0.8	-0.4	-1.8	+3.8	+0.9

Matt Chapman is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chapman has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Matt Chapman has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Slider (L)

28%

Curve (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

10% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

46% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has an A grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 46%

+16%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Slow Lob 15%

+12%

Large Break 30%

+9%

14.6% of Matt Chapman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout 0.0% +6.4% 3%

Walk +2.1% -0.2% 40%

In Play -2.1% -6.1% 39%

On Base +0.7% -3.3% 31%

Hit -1.4% -3.1% 14%

Single -1.8% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -1.9% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +1.2%

27.2% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers induces Standard Grounders at a 28.9% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.2% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +1.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% +2.5% 3%

Pop up +2.7% +1.8%

36.0% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.6% higher than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.0% -3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +3.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.6% -2.0%

11.8% of Matt Chapman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.8% -3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.7% -0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -2.7% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +3.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.4% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% +0.1% 8%

Above 50° +6.1% +2.7%

Matt Chapman has 7 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a home run, 3 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	4	2	1	0	1	1	3	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.91	0.83	0.16	0.93			0.479

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-29	Flyout		1%		98%
2023-07-29	Walk
2023-04-09	Single		4%	93%	4%
2023-04-09	Home Run	83%	11%		6%
2023-04-09	Walk
2022-08-26	Strikeout
2022-08-26	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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