Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Chapman

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Matt Chapman

60th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Extreme advantage for Chapman

Matt Chapman has a 38.3% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 5.1% higher than Chapman's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.3%	25.0%	2.8%	4.4%	17.8%	13.3%	16.4%
Chapman	+5.1	+4.0	-0.4	-0.3	+4.6	+1.1	-8.3
Ashcraft	+1.4	-1.6	+0.6	-0.7	-1.4	+3.0	+0.1

Matt Chapman is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chapman has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Matt Chapman has a D grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

14.6% of Matt Chapman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout 0.0% -6.0% 3%

Walk +2.1% -0.9% 40%

In Play -2.1% +6.9% 39%

On Base +0.7% +7.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +8.4% 14%

Single -1.8% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.6%

27.2% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.2% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +2.7% -0.5%

36.0% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.6% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.0% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.6% -1.4%

11.8% of Matt Chapman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.8% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.7% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° -2.7% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.4% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +6.1% -1.1%

Matt Chapman has 2 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.30	0.00	0.00	0.30			0.149

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-22	Single			13%	87%
2022-05-22	Groundout			16%	84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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