Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Chapman

matchup for Jordan Hicks

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Jordan Hicks

matchup for Matt Chapman

75th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Chapman

Matt Chapman has a 39.0% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 5.8% higher than Chapman's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Hicks.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.0%	22.0%	3.1%	4.4%	14.5%	17.0%	21.7%
Chapman	+5.8	+1.0	-0.1	-0.3	+1.4	+4.8	-3.0
Hicks	+0.7	-2.9	+0.4	-0.9	-2.4	+3.6	+1.2

Matt Chapman is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Chapman has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Matt Chapman has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

63%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

12% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 19%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

44% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Matt Chapman has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 44%

+41%

Extreme Break 39%

+24%

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

Just Gravity 27%

+14%

14.6% of Matt Chapman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout 0.0% -1.7% 3%

Walk +2.1% +1.8% 40%

In Play -2.1% -0.1% 39%

On Base +0.7% +2.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% +1.1% 14%

Single -1.8% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.4%

27.2% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks induces Standard Grounders at a 41.0% rate, which is 6.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.2% +6.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +1.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +2.7% -1.6%

36.0% of Matt Chapman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.6% higher than the league average. 27.6% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.0% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -4.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.6% +3.3%

11.8% of Matt Chapman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 7.5% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.8% +1.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.7% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -2.8% 18%

7 to 18° -2.7% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +4.6% 11%

29 to 38° +0.4% -3.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +6.1% -2.4%

Matt Chapman has 5 plate appearances against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.19	0.00	0.01	1.18			0.398

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-01	Forceout			49%	50%
2023-03-30	Forceout			2%	98%
2022-07-26	Single			67%	33%
2022-05-24	Walk
2022-05-24	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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