Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sean Bouchard

matchup for Chris Paddack

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Sean Bouchard

275th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Paddack

Sean Bouchard has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.6% lower than Bouchard's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	21.0%	3.7%	4.9%	12.5%	7.4%	29.9%
Bouchard	-1.6	+1.7	+0.7	+0.6	+0.4	-3.2	-2.8
Paddack	-1.7	-2.7	+0.3	-0.8	-2.3	+0.9	+7.6

Sean Bouchard is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bouchard doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Sean Bouchard has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Sean Bouchard hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Sean Bouchard hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

23.4% of Sean Bouchard's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +6.4% +4.3% 4%

Walk +6.4% -3.2% 54%

In Play -12.8% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.5% -3.8% 31%

Hit -3.9% -0.6% 14%

Single -2.4% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.0% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.0%

34.7% of Sean Bouchard's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.3% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +6.0% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +15.3% +0.3% 3%

Pop up -3.4% +0.3%

13.8% of Sean Bouchard's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.5% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.2% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -9.4% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +15.5% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.6% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.5% +5.8%

16.4% of Sean Bouchard's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%