Matchup Machine

Sean Bouchard

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

102nd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Sean Bouchard

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Bouchard
2

Model Prediction

Sean Bouchard has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.3% higher than Bouchard's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%20.5%2.5%4.1%13.9%11.8%24.8%
Bouchard+2.3+1.1-0.5-0.1+1.7+1.1-7.8
Beeks-1.2-3.6+0.0-0.8-2.8+2.5+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Sean Bouchard is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bouchard doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Sean Bouchard hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

23.4% of Sean Bouchard's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +6.4% -2.5% 4%         Walk +6.4% -0.1% 54%         In Play -12.8% +2.6% 39%         On Base +2.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit -3.9% +0.5% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years